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Target and Scenario Planning Rulemaking

LCDC Rulemaking

/ODOT/TD/OSTI/PublishingImages/Manzanita.jpg GHG Reduction Targets and Scenario Planning

The Land Conservation and Development Commission (LCDC) adopted target rules on May 19, 2011. Subsequent to the adoption of the target rules, on November 15, 2012, LCDC adopted rules to guide Metro and local governments in the Portland metropolitan area in the scenario planning process. The target rules and scenario planning rules are included in the Oregon Administrative Rules Chapter 660, Division 44.


Targets and scenario planning are the result of two bills, HB 2001[1] and SB 1059, which were adopted by the 2009 and 2010 legislatures. The legislature directed LCDC to assess what reduction in emissions from light vehicle travel would be needed for the state to be on track to meet its long term goal. Among the factors LCDC had to consider, were how changes to vehicle technology, fuels, and the vehicle fleet might contribute to achieving a reduction in GHG emissions. Three other state agencies were directed to participate in developing the targets; Oregon Department of Transportation (ODOT), Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ), and Oregon Department of Energy (ODOE).

In June 2010, LCDC appointed the Target Rulemaking Advisory Committee (TRAC) to help set targets and develop the required administrative rule. The TRAC included elected officials from each of the metropolitan areas, as well as representatives from key state agencies and other stakeholder groups. The TRAC met seven times to review statute, consider technical information from agencies and recommend targets to LCDC. Based on consideration of these factors, the TRAC recommended that GHG reduction targets for the state’s metropolitan areas be set at a range of 17% to 21% per capita and to be measured from 2005 emission levels.

The rule recognizes that the GHG reduction targets are part of an evolving process. State and local governments will need to work together to determine the most effective ways to meet the 2050 GHG reduction goal. The reduction targets reflect the best information available and will be a guide for scenario planning, the results of which will inform both state efforts and review of the target rule by LCDC in 2015.

Metropolitan Area Per Capita Reduction Targets by 2035 (over 2005 levels)

  • Portland metropolitan area 20%
  • Bend metropolitan planning area18%
  • Corvallis metropolitan planning area 21%
  • Eugene-Springfield metropolitan planning area 20%
  • Rogue Valley metropolitan planning area19%
  • Salem-Keizer metropolitan planning area 17%

Following the adoption of the target rules, LCDC adopted administrative rules to guide the Portland metropolitan area’s scenario planning process.

See more information on Scenario Planning for GHG reduction.

[1] HB 2001 requires that Portland Metro area undertake scenario planning to meet targets adopted by LCDC. HB 2001 requires the Central Lane MPO – which includes Eugene and Springfield - to conduct scenario planning, but does not require it to meet LCDC targets. Neither SB 1059 nor HB 2001 requires other metropolitan areas to conduct scenario planning or meet LCDC targets.