The Office of Forecasting, Research and Analysis (OFRA) supports both DHS and OHA by providing accurate, timely, unbiased caseload forecasts, and related research and analysis to support budgeting, policy development, and operational planning.

Caseload forecasts are provided for the following program areas:

  • Aging and People with Disabilities (APD)
  • Child Welfare (CW)
  • Health Systems Medicaid (HSM)
  • Intellectual and Developmental Disabilities (I/DD)
  • Self Sufficiency (SS)
  • Vocational Rehabilitation (VR)
  • Mental Health (MH)
  • Regional forecast are provided for APD, SS, and HSM

Please contact or for historical information and reports.

We also:

  • Work collaboratively with programs staff throughout both agencies, and analytical staff in DHS, OHA and other agencies.
  • Maintain an enterprise-wide Integrated Client Services Data Warehouse (ICS) for DHS/OHA containing client level data from almost all agency programs, as well as data from Employment, Corrections, and Housing and Community Services;
  • Support collection of certain provider taxes.​​


Production Calendar - 2019
Service Level Agreement - 2018

Performance Metrics

Annual Forecast Quality Report - 2017
OFRA QBR Scorecard - 2018


APHSA Governance Guidance