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Strategic Assessment and Scenario Planning

Strategic Assessment

A Strategic Assessment is a voluntary activity that allows a metropolitan planning organization, or MPO, and its member local governments to evaluate what the metropolitan area may look like in the future given the area’s adopted plans and trends of today. Strategic assessments can help MPOs by informing development of land use and transportation plans and investment priorities which address community goals.

To help conduct a strategic assessment, MPOs can request financial and technical assistance through contracts negotiated by Oregon Department of Transportation.

Strategic Assessment Frequently Asked Questions

 

Scenario Planning and Strategic Assessments use a metropolitan implementation of the VisionEval strategic planning model, which relies on data from a variety of state and local sources to represent future policies and plans. To find out how Strategic Assessments work in Oregon, see the  Model User's Guide. For data needed to conduct a strategic assessment see the Metropolitan Data Decision Checklist. For more information on the modeling tool, refer to the VisionEval Quick Summary, VisionEval Pooled Fund website, or ODOT's Technical Tools website.​

ODOT and DLCD have created a land use classification system for Scenario Planning and Strategic Assessments to better understand the transportation impacts of land use patterns and enable local jurisdictions to make more informed policy decisions. The concept is derived from the RPAT tool (SHRP2 C16 Rapid Policy Assessment Tool) and is a data-driven approach using local data combined with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Smart Location Database block group data.

Place Types are used to quantify neighborhood characteristics by the role that they play in the region, proximity to destinations, and availability of various travel options. These neighborhood characteristics influence the transportation choices individuals make, which ultimately affect the overall amount of vehicle travel in the region. Through comparing the existing built environment characteristics with the expected future environment with the aid of visualization tools, decision makers are able to better understand how changes to infrastructure and land use might influence demographics, individual choices, and travel behavior. Place Types can be beneficial in local processes to forecast future land use inputs for travel models which in turn estimate the impact of future changes to transportation and land use policies.

Oregon Place Types Overview
Oregon Place Type Maps

Scenario Planning

Scenario planning is a method for exploring an area’s long-term future - in other words, "where is the area heading", and "is that where we want to go?" The processes outlined for scenario planning allows areas to work together to consider statewide, regional, and local needs and issues, such as economic development, fiscal impacts, resource use, greenhouse gas emissions, and the effects of different choices on the state, region, community or household.

The Scenario Planning Guidelines were developed as a resource to help MPOs and local governments conduct land use and transportation scenario planning. We encourage metropolitan areas to use the guidelines to design a scenario planning process that best addresses local conditions and builds on other concurrent or recent planning efforts.

Scenario Planning Guidelines
Scenario Planning Guidelines Technical Appendix

Statewide Transportation Strategy: A state-level scenario planning effort developed by ODOT that examines all aspects of the transportation system and identifies a combination of strategies to reduce GHG emissions.

Climate Smart Strategy: A set of policies, strategies and near-term actions developed by Portland Metro to guide how the region moves forward to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Central Lane Scenario Planning: Development of a preferred scenario that meets greenhouse gas emission reduction targets, adopted by jurisdictions within the Central Lane metropolitan planning area in mid-2015.

Central Lane Scenario Planning Final Report: A report developed by the communities of Central Lane County that summarizes the scenario planning process and includes the final preferred scenario.

Corvallis Area Metropolitan Planning Organization Strategic Assessment and Scenario Analysis: Reports developed by the Corvallis Area MPO which are intended to help inform the region's decision-makers and the public as they consider how to update the region's land use and transportation plans. The CAMPO Strategic Assessment was awarded a FHWA 2015 Environmental Excellence Award.

Rogue Valley Metropolitan Planning Organization Strategic Assessment: A report developed by the Rogue Valley MPO which is intended to help inform the region’s decision-makers and the public as they consider how to update the region’s land use and transportation plans.