Economic analysis

The Oregon Corrections Population Forecast estimates the number of inmates in Oregon's prisons over the next ten years and is used to develop the budget for the Oregon Department of Corrections. The Corrections Forecast covers state-funded correctional populations including: prison, felony probation, parole and post-prison supervision, and felons serving local sentences of 12 or fewer months. The monthly population projects are broken out to show the impact of major law or policy changes.

The Corrections Population Forecast is issued twice a year on April 1 and October 1.  Please feel free to contact Michael Kennedy at 503-378-5732 or michael.kennedy@oregon.gov on matters regarding Corrections forecasts.


Upcoming forecast

September 12th, 2019, 1:45 - 3:45, Conference Room A


NOTE: The preliminary forecast presented in the above presentation is subject to change. The presentation is provided for informational purposes only and is not for republication. Final numbers will be posted here on or before October 1st, 2019.

Most recent forecast

 

Archived forecasts

October 2017​
October 2017 monthly detail tables​

April 2017​
April 2017 monthly detail tables


Prior forecasts are available from the Oregon State Library​.  For more information, please contact Michael Kennedy at 503-378-5732 or michael.kennedy@oregon.gov .​


Methodology and Ad-hoc Analyses


Corrections Population Forecast Advisory Committee

The Corrections Population Forecast Advisory Committee was formed in 1990 to assist the Office of Economic Analysis in preparing estimates of criminal offender populations in the State of Oregon. The Governor appoints members of the committee for four-year terms based on the members' knowledge of the criminal justice system and trends that may affect the offender population.

Chair
Jeffrey Howes, Multnomah County Deputy District Attorney 
 
Members
John Haroldson, Benton County District Attorney
Michael Schmidt, Criminal Justice Commission Executive Director
Colette Peters, Director Department of Corrections
Jeffery Wood, Director Marion County Community Corrections
Jason Myers, Marion County Sheriff
Honorable Debra Vogt, Lane County Circuit Court
Jessica Kampfe, Marion County Public Defenders Office
Michael Hsu, Parole Board


Criminal Justice Resources

National

Bureau of Justice statistics
Justice Information Center (NCJRS)


Oregon

Oregon Department of Corrections - adult offenders
Oregon Youth Authority - juvenile offenders
Oregon Criminal Justice Commission - policy development and statistical tables


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