The Oregon Corrections Population Forecast estimates the number of inmates in Oregon's prisons over the next ten years and is used to develop the budget for the Oregon Department of Corrections. The Corrections Forecast covers state-funded correctional populations including: prison, felony probation, parole and post-prison supervision, and felons serving local sentences of 12 or fewer months. The monthly population projects are broken out to show the impact of major law or policy changes.
The Corrections Population Forecast is issued twice a year on April 1 and October 1. Please feel free to contact Josh Lehner at 971-209-5929 or
joshua.lehner@das.oregon.gov on matters regarding Corrections forecasts.
Forecast Primary Meeting:
The next meeting of the forecast advisory committee is scheduled for - Will be updated when available
Most Recent Forecast
Forecast Accuracy:
Monthly Tracking Report -
Each
month following the publication of the forecast, OEA issues a tracking
report assessing the accuracy of the forecast. You can find the most
recent report here - Tracking Report, December Biennial Accuracy Brief -
Following the close of each biennium, OEA publishes a brief assessing the accuracy of the forecast two years prior. The 2021-23 brief is coming soon!
Archived Forecasts
Methodology and Ad-Hoc Analyses
Corrections Population Forecast Advisory Committee
The Corrections Population Forecast Advisory Committee was formed in 1990 to assist the Office of Economic Analysis in preparing estimates of criminal offender populations in the State of Oregon. The Governor appoints members of the committee for four-year terms based on the members' knowledge of the criminal justice system and trends that may affect the offender population.
Chair
Jeffrey Howes, Multnomah County Deputy District Attorney
Members
Ken Sanchagrin, Criminal Justice Commission Executive Director
Heidi Steward, Director Department of Corrections (Acting)
Brook Reinhard, Public Defender Services of Lane County
Jeffery Wood, Marion County Undersheriff
Honorable Debra Vogt, Lane County Circuit Court
Greta Lowry, Parole Board
Jodi Merritt, Polk County Community Corrections Director
Criminal Justice Resources
National