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Corrections Population Forecast

The Oregon Corrections Population Forecast estimates the number of inmates in Oregon's prisons over the next ten years and is used to develop the budget for the Oregon Department of Corrections. The Corrections Forecast covers state-funded correctional populations including: prison, felony probation, parole and post-prison supervision, and felons serving local sentences of 12 or fewer months. The monthly population projects are broken out to show the impact of major law or policy changes.

The Corrections Population Forecast is issued twice a year on April 1 and October 1. Please feel free to contact Josh Lehner at 971-209-5929 or on matters regarding Corrections forecasts.

Forecast Primary MeetingThe next meeting of the forecast advisory committee is scheduled for -

  Will be updated when available

Most Recent Forecast

Forecast Accuracy: 

Monthly Tracking Report -

Each month following the publication of the forecast, OEA issues a tracking report assessing the accuracy of the forecast.  You can find the most recent report here - Tracking Report, December 

Biennial Accuracy Brief -

Following the close of each biennium, OEA publishes a brief assessing the accuracy of the forecast two years prior. The 2021-23 brief is coming soon!

Archived Forecasts

Prior forecasts are available from the Oregon State Library. For more information, please contact Josh Lehner at 971-209-5929 or

Methodology and Ad-Hoc Analyses

Corrections Population Forecast Advisory Committee

The Corrections Population Forecast Advisory Committee was formed in 1990 to assist the Office of Economic Analysis in preparing estimates of criminal offender populations in the State of Oregon. The Governor appoints members of the committee for four-year terms based on the members' knowledge of the criminal justice system and trends that may affect the offender population.

Jeffrey Howes, Multnomah County Deputy District Attorney 
Ken Sanchagrin, Criminal Justice Commission Executive Director
Heidi Steward, Director Department of Corrections (Acting)
Brook Reinhard, Public Defender Services of Lane County
Jeffery Wood, Marion County Undersheriff
Honorable Debra Vogt, Lane County Circuit Court
Greta Lowry, Parole Board
Jodi Merritt, Polk County Community Corrections Director

Criminal Justice Resources

Oregon Youth Authority (Juvenile Offenders)
Oregon Criminal Justice Commission (Policy Development and Statistical Tables)